Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.591171 0.670516 0.755022 0.851555 0.958599 1.073484 1.205935
2025-10-12 0.483805 0.596878 0.725992 0.883604 1.070028 1.282694 1.542795
2025-10-19 0.391144 0.522455 0.682468 0.890035 1.150192 1.463361 1.866501
2025-10-26 0.319398 0.460060 0.642264 0.892240 1.222442 1.639437 2.200918
2025-11-02 0.263772 0.408221 0.606398 0.892766 1.289562 1.812663 2.545621
2025-11-09 0.220147 0.364871 0.574500 0.892379 1.352551 1.983225 2.898893
2025-11-16 0.186527 0.329991 0.548702 0.895542 1.418181 2.160087 3.272092
2025-11-23 0.156844 0.295813 0.518455 0.886996 1.463792 2.309911 3.616043
2025-11-30 0.137714 0.275466 0.506365 0.903586 1.546553 2.517365 4.054960
2025-12-07 0.117294 0.249176 0.480601 0.894388 1.586871 2.662475 4.409140
2025-12-14 0.102784 0.231039 0.465896 0.900971 1.651479 2.847327 4.833123
2025-12-21 0.087764 0.209146 0.441336 0.887197 1.680041 2.975796 5.175479
2025-12-28 0.080723 0.202421 0.444168 0.922852 1.796255 3.254414 5.775806
2026-01-04 0.074222 0.195704 0.446088 0.956832 1.912039 3.539495 6.403173
2026-01-11 0.065720 0.182952 0.434317 0.963485 1.979202 3.746858 6.914125
2026-01-18 0.057959 0.170392 0.421146 0.965699 2.037832 3.942485 7.415441
2026-01-25 0.051097 0.158625 0.407961 0.966169 2.092623 4.133903 7.918944
2026-02-01 0.045075 0.147737 0.395121 0.965697 2.144985 4.323282 8.427861
2026-02-08 0.040078 0.138518 0.384726 0.969046 2.204548 4.528343 8.973840
2026-02-15 0.034988 0.127881 0.369428 0.959874 2.237838 4.686260 9.442647
2026-02-22 0.031957 0.122625 0.366426 0.977622 2.326973 4.952703 10.119714
2026-03-01 0.027946 0.113393 0.352090 0.967765 2.357495 5.109043 10.601557
2026-03-08 0.025158 0.107429 0.345323 0.974807 2.424068 5.337851 11.227974